Tuesday, April 8, 2008

When in Despair

When in Despair the Bull is there people.

Tomorrow I see great things for all of my faithful followers. The JR Bull has been telling us all for many weeks now about the financials surge upward and he has been correct so far. Something, the Bull cannot place his hand on it, but something is telling the Bull the financials are going to make a run upward tomorrow. Is it the Bulls imagination or is it a message from above? For tomorrow we will find out how divine the Bull really is.


What does the Bull like tomorrow:

The Bull loves his financials, He loves Citigroup(C), He loves LEH, UBS, GS, and on and on. The Bull feels that divine feeling that is indescribable.

The Bull loves XTNT, HNAB, and ACAT at the prices they are at at the end of the after hours are a steal for any Bull. I would make a bid for them or buy right at open if they stay at the prices they are at which are (5.00, 0.93, and 6.38).

The Bull also wants his disciples to be long in MYGN, AUEGF, HGLC, DE, VRTX, BMRN, ARBA, JBHT, W, KB, and BULL.

Short Wise: Bull would be short in RAMEW, ACCP, and VTLAF. I would look to short if they open at their current prices, PIII, NGSX, NENG, TRMM, and BEAR.

The Bull has two intersting articles for everyone:

First up AOL's best offshore bank account spots:

http://money.aol.com/forbes/tax/worlds-top-tax-havens

- I will comment on this tomorrow but needless to say the list is inane.

Here is a wonderful article on the art of the hedge fund, the people interviewed are minor league players but I think its a great read for everyone who thinks bankers, and investment bankers run the show:

http://nymag.com/nymetro/news/bizfinance/finance/features/10426/

Here are the Bull's favorite parts:

"“You work for us,” Zachary likes to let Harry know. Zachary represents a two-year-old hedge fund called Pirate Capital, a name that Zachary says gets people’s attention. (And if that doesn’t, then the 32 percent returns per year do.) For $20 million, Pirate purchased 13 percent of Harry’s company, which runs prisons. This makes Pirate Harry’s largest shareholder and, as Zachary sees it, Harry’s boss."

- Most people don't look at businesses like this but this is how they are looked upon on Wall Street. The largest shareholder is the true CEO.

"“Investment bankers?” says one hedge-fund guy. “Their lives are miserable.” He ticks off the shortcomings—he seems to have been keeping track. The punishing hours, the endless pitching, and all those dull, needy clients. What could be worse? Perhaps only a job at a sleepy mutual fund, a plain vanilla, as the hedge-fund managers sometimes call them."

- The Bull's thoughts exactly.

By comparison, the hedge-fund manager’s life seems effortless. Gloriously client-free and with reasonable hours. “I got into this business,” says one hedge guy—is he stifling a yawn?—“so I could make money while I sleep.”

- The last line might be the funniest in the article but only shows this "hedge fund manager" is clueless.

"The investment banker talks your ear off, charms you with his minor gifts. And for what? To give advice. There’s a hedge-fund put-down. “We get to pull the trigger,” says one manager."

- Why the Bull can never understand why people go to work for investment banks.

"Just for the pleasure of illustrating the point, one hedge-fund guy sitting at a cafĂ© in a burgundy golf shirt—he has no clients and thus no dress code—grabs his cell phone off the table. “Give me $100 million of . . . ,” he says, and names the company. “That’s how hard it is.” It’s that easy if—and here’s the implication—you have the nerve. As one hedge manager all but snorted, “Bankers have no appetite for risk.”"

- No appetite for risk answers my previous question.


"And so, he tells you what financial advisers tell most every hapless investor. Diversify your portfolio and your asset classes. Which is his way of letting you know he’s not going to actually manage your money. Rather, he’ll divide it into a few asset buckets and diversify it by industry group, and then he’s going to, as Loeb says of Ross, “extract his fee,” which, though he does his work up front, must be paid each year.

For most hedge-fund managers, this is insanity. “You might as well walk through Times Square with money sticking out of your pockets and yell, ‘Rob me!’ ” says one. Hedge funds don’t, as a rule, take the diversified view, an attempt, in their mind, to perform just like everyone else. They’re looking for winners. Their goal is to get in near the bottom and slip out of the way when the top crests."


- Couldn't agree more, wouldn't your rather own 10 stocks in the best sector than the best stocks in the worst sectors?

"To a hedge-fund manager’s mind, mutual funds, or plain vanillas, are lazy. Vanillas, so the thinking goes, make their money through their vast marketing machine. Their investment goal is simply not to lose more than the market average. “My eyes glaze over when people start talking about their performance relative to an index,” says Loeb. “I’m an absolute-return guy,” says another manager. After all, no profits, no bonus."

- The Bull shoots for 5% a day regardless of how the market is doing.

"And so, for hedge-fund managers, investing is an aggressor’s game. “If you’re buying into the market,” points out one, “then, by definition, you’re saying the person selling to you is an idiot.”"


- Luckily there is plenty of idiots out there.

“Diversification is deworsification,” says Carvin, then tosses his head back and laughs like Beavis."

- Agreed

"Every dollar ticks with pressure. You report to investors every month. You earn bonuses every year. “I have to make money every day,” says one hedge-fund guy."

- The Bull charts how he does every hour. One down hour and he goes nuts.



The Bull has to go go get some sleep, for Miami demands the Bull be at his usual best.

Here ends the reading of The Bull Chapter four, verse 8.

The Bull

46 comments:

Anonymous said...

Amazing post Bull, I need to get into hedge funds

Anonymous said...

Financials huh Bull? Tits and Ass has been right but why tomorrow?

Anonymous said...

It is so nice to have you back bull

Anonymous said...

Where is the JR bull?

Anonymous said...

On your baseball team I would look for one more lights out closer, you got one great, two good, and one shitty. You can upgrade.

Look at Billy Wagner of Mets

Anonymous said...

I love the article man, I am still laughing. they all sound like you

Anonymous said...

Boxer or Briefs>?

Anonymous said...

Bull,

Why do you like ACAT so much at these prices? I see their revenue is down 4 quarters straight, and the stock is one a dive

Anonymous said...

Why,


The Bull picks are usually one day or one week picks, not a statement on the liquidity of the stock

Anonymous said...

Bull you are out of your fucking mind. You now quote the scriputres of the Bull. It went fromt he divine wisdom to God giving you messages to you having your own cannon?

Your going to hell

Anonymous said...

Faith,


Its a joke buddy, he is just haivng fun

Anonymous said...

I am a big baseball man like you Bull. You got a lot of over aged players, look for some youth. Maybe Siezmore or Haley rameriz

Anonymous said...

Bull how do you short?

Anonymous said...

Where are hte option plays anymore Bull. I made a lot of moneyw ith you on those

Anonymous said...

Shorting is when you borrow stock, sell it, buy it back, give it back.

Anonymous said...

Look at options for WFC. I thinkt he stock is going to 80.


Look at June 08 50 dollar call

Anonymous said...

Anyone have thoughts on earnings for BBBY tomorrow at close?

Big ADD said...

I had a long meeting with the JR Bull tonight. We planned on a 2 hour meeting, turned out to be almost 5. Good times as always.

Always planning out the future. I informed him of the Bull's new post, I am sure he will be writing tonight or tomorrow again.

Anonymous said...

What a great post

Anonymous said...

Stocks headed for mix opening, don't see this finanical push bull

Anonymous said...

In most of teh plays you gave us bull. Good luck in Miami

Anonymous said...

Is it true everyone wheres a thong on Miamis beaches, is it true that the clubs are full of models, is it true you have to have a ferrari to get laid?

Anonymous said...

UPS is fucking us today people. They are killing the market with their warning of this impending recession

Anonymous said...

Where was this finanical explosion>

Anonymous said...

Seems most of those picks were down, can we get numbers Bull. Did you go in red today?

Anonymous said...

guess the Bears are far from extinct

Anonymous said...

outside of "Fuck Yahoo Shorts" does anyone have a take on whats going to happen to this pourus company?

Anonymous said...

Big Add,


I think teh JR Bull got eaten by a bear! Your the only one who ever even posts from "your group". And thank you for that

Anonymous said...

Howis Miami Bull? What you doing downt here? Any posts tonight?>

Anonymous said...

Need some plays for tomorrow Bull. Bring back the options

Anonymous said...

I really want to figure out who the Bull is? Does nayone have any sort of idea

Anonymous said...

I think its pretty clear he works in NYC and travels a lot. Most likely a hedge fund owner. I really don't have much more

The Bull said...

The Bull will speak from Miami tomorrow. No one worry, the Bull had has scares today but was able to keep the streak intact, now at 17 straight days in black.

THE BULL

Anonymous said...

Cant wait Bull, sure you dont got any picks for tomorrow

Anonymous said...

Bull I need a take on OIL. Should I buy USO and long the oil? I know you called this 98 and then 110 barrel. We going to 120?

Big ADD said...

Jr Bull aka T$A has a real job still. He isn't as dedicated to this blog as myself or the Bull is.

I play too much poker, so I have unlimited time to kill.

Anonymous said...

Big add,

Who the fuck are you

Anonymous said...

Am I the only one who thinks BIg add is none other than Daniel NEgreanu. Negreanu writes a blog on full tilt poker about his life and seems to know alot of celebrities in different fields. Would no shock me

Anonymous said...

GET INTO CIT PEOPLE

Anonymous said...

CIt is down 10% moron

Anonymous said...

NOT FOR LONG

Anonymous said...

CIT,


Great call man, went back to zero

Anonymous said...

ETFC at these prices I love

Anonymous said...

I think this blog needs more posts towards the educated guy. I realize you are trying to helop but how bout some tradesoutside of shorts an dlong

Anonymous said...

My apologies for not posting lately, I have been working hard, and haven't had any time to post. I think all of you know I love financials, so I'll talk a little to you about them. I think that financials are a great long term play, if you are a patient investor. For those of you like the Bull and I, we like to have big days every single day of the week. I'm going to tell you right now financials will come back, but are not ready to make a run yet. With that I will give you some of picks that I feel are the best. I think CSE is very underpriced, and is a steal at 10.82 where it sits as i write this. I am by no means saying that it will go up huge in the next few days, but I think over the long term it will go back to 18, maybe even to 20. I also love WFC though I think it could drop a little more. I think LEH might be a short squeeze, there are way to many people shorting this stock. C is a great pick up for long term investors. It is going to come back over the long term, great place to get in.

On the other side, there is one stock that I think could be damaged in the coming weeks. This is MER. I think they will report a massive writedown, and the stock price will suffer. I DONT reccomend getting in MER, and consider getting in some options on it. Possibly the April 40 put or the May 40 put could be good.

Well I have to go back to making some money, but leave any questions you have and I'll try to answer them as soon as I get a chance.

T$A

Anonymous said...

TA -

Thanks for some options plays, something the Bull doesnt do