Thursday, May 15, 2008

Three Major Items

Bulls,


Three huge items the Bull must talk about.

1. Yahoo

- As many of the Bull's loyal readers know the Bull is not a fan of Yahoo in any sort of way so the Bull's following comment might be a shocker. The Bull thinks Yahoo is a buy! Now Yahoo is not going to have another 72% jump like it did after MSFT announced plans to buy but if yahoo can secure a 33 dollar sell price then you will see an impressive 18-19% jump in the stock.

Why is the Bull so bullish all of sudden. The Bull believes in following the "whales" and outside of Buffet, Ichan may be the biggest in the game. Now what Ichan specializes in is hostile takeovers and proxy fights. Exactly what he is getting involved with here.

This yahoo board has been in place in four years. During that time the nasdaq is up 30% and Google 440% but yahoo has been flat. This is unacceptable and Ichan has put his own slate of board members up for election. The meeting is July 3rd and the Bull might be in attendence just to see the fireworks.

Within Ichan's ten prospective candidates for the board are some interesting names. Marc Cuban who sold broadcast.com for 5 billion dollars to yahoo, and therefore knows how this yahoo board likes to negotiate. Adam Dell, the brother of Michael Dell, and Lucian Bebchuck who is one of the most respected figures in the academic world in terms of mergers.

But there is one other key ingredient besides Ichan and his 59 million shares and 10 million call options. John Paulson who runs the hedge fund Paulson and Company, made billions this past year by betting against the market due to predicting the subprime mess. He made 3.7 billion dollars personally and was the top earner of any hedge fund mangers(BRK is not a hedge fund and therefore Buffet does not count). Well turns out according to SEC reports that Mr. Paulson himself has acquired a 3.7% stake in yahoo by owning around 50 million shares and he too is demanding change.

Who would not want to go into the trenches with these two giants?

2. 5,000 Cancer Drug Reports Released tonight at 9 PM ET time.

- The American Society of Clinical Oncology every year releases their findings on different cancer drugs. They hold a conference towards the end of May each year where the discuss the blockbuster names of the bio-tech world and their findings. In years past, the ASCO would release their findings to around 25,000 doctors and reporters a few weeks before the conference and then the hawks on Wallstreet would begin paying these doctors substantial amounts of money in exchange for the ASCO results before they were officially released.

As a result, this year the ASCO is releasing almost 5,000 detailed reports on different cancer drugs all at the same time to anyone who has a computer. Log onto asco.org at 9 a clock eastern and the reports will be there for all to see. Now there are a few blockbuster names that they are keeping in store until the conference but the results tonight will shake the Biotech world for the rest of the month.

All the big names such as DNA, PFE, LLY, CELG, ONXX and OSIP will be affected. Personally I am watching for some movement in ARIA and and BMY.

It is hard to predict what will happen and people will be up all night trying to figure out how these findings should affect the stocks. I think the safest bet is to long straddle the volatile cancer related bio-tech stocks.

If you see any huge announcements(IMCL last year) plastered on CNBC, I would do my best to get in pre-market or as early as you can. Also look for a huge drop and maybe try to catch a big comeback play.

3. The Intelligent Investor

- Easily the greatest book ever written on the principles of investing. If you have not read this book, rush down to your nearest barnes and noble and pick it up. I recommend the newer version with commentary from Jason Zweig. I will comment on the book as a whole another day but the book is written by the famed financial mind Benjamin Graham who was the mentor to a young Warren Buffet.

This book will change your life and the way you approach the market.

The Bull is off to play a round of golf.

The Bull

29 comments:

Anonymous said...

Great post Bull great to have u back

Anonymous said...

Getting in yhoo after hours

Anonymous said...

SHORT YAHOO FUCKERS

Anonymous said...

Ichan hits for a good percentage. Hopefullt this is not another MOT

Anonymous said...

Never heard of the ASCO. I will be on website tonight

Anonymous said...

Great ot have u back bull

Anonymous said...

ASCO huge night folks. Look for DNA to blow the compeitiion away

Anonymous said...

doesnt the PE value on Yahoo scare u bull?

Anonymous said...

Fast money is bashing yahoo bull

Anonymous said...

asco news going crazy. Love DNA off of this

Anonymous said...

LLY is a buy tomorrow people. I am 2/2 on my calls.


The new bull

Anonymous said...

goldman,

Impressed your read off CNN lly had good news.

You are nothing but a fraud new bull

Anonymous said...

Genentech's Avastin was effective in fighting an aggressive form of brain cancer called glioblastoma in patients who have received prior treatment. A phase II study of 167 patients showed that 43% of those taking Avastin alone, and 50% taking the drug with standard chemotherapy, survived without disease progression for six months. Overall survival in the Avastin group was 9.2 months, compared with 8.7 months in the combination group.

Genentech plans to use data from the study to file for accelerated approval, which requires confirmatory data, later this year to expand Avastin's label and expects to start a phase III study in newly diagnosed glioblastoma patients.

Anonymous said...

--Wyeth's (WYE) Torisel increased progression-free survival in a phase III study of more than 160 people with mantle-cell lymphoma to 4.8 months from 1.9 months among those not taking the drug. Mantle-cell lymphoma is a rare type of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

Anonymous said...

People i am looking hard at a stock called LVLT. Get in, I think they crusha nd mopve up tomorrow. I do have inside info on this

Anonymous said...

Aria up nice Bull. Good call

Anonymous said...

any picks for tomorrow

Anonymous said...

DE

Anonymous said...

Bull a post for the new week

Anonymous said...

Bull my friend says you live in Soho?

Anonymous said...

True story,


I was in NYC this week and outside the NYSE they have a Bull and this young(prolly 30 year old) was posing for a picture saying "take a picture of just the bull so I can use it as my blog picture' and also said "its good to be the bull".


I have pictures and will be starting a blog or posting them on flicker.

I saw the Bull

Big ADD said...

Sorry to debunk your idea you have seen a legend, but, many people may call themselves the Bull, but the TRUE BULL was NOT the one you saw in NYC. I will confirm that this story has no validity, and it was 100% not the Bull.

Nice try, though...

-Big Add

Anonymous said...

Big add how can u be so sure?

Anonymous said...

Bulll take on all this yahoo search business shit. Does this still hold value.

Anonymous said...

No it does not. Get out of yahoo


My ID is not working so this is me.

Bull

Anonymous said...

Bull my wife wants to know when oil is goin to stop going up

Anonymous said...

oil is going to 161 according to goldman

Anonymous said...

Bull could use a post

Anonymous said...

Bull,


Give me take on Imclone?

Down to 42 dollars. Is it a buy?